関西大学
2023/02/13
| 選択肢 | 人数 | 割合(%) |
|---|---|---|
| 低いと思う | 1062 | 50.7 |
| やや低いと思う | 705 | 33.7 |
| ちょうどよいと思う | 130 | 6.2 |
| やや高いと思う | 153 | 7.3 |
| 高いと思う | 44 | 2.1 |
| (1) | |
|---|---|
| (Intercept) | 2.986 (0.174) *** |
| Female | 0.141 (0.049) ** |
| Age | -0.003 (0.002) |
| Educ | 0.000 (0.026) |
| Income | 0.004 (0.005) |
| Urban | 0.001 (0.026) |
| Duty | -0.146 (0.022) *** |
| Interest | -0.133 (0.038) *** |
| Independent | -0.089 (0.049) + |
| Voted | -0.247 (0.071) *** |
| Num.Obs. | 1723 |
| R2 | 0.093 |
| R2 Adj. | 0.088 |
| AIC | 4746.3 |
| BIC | 4806.2 |
| Log.Lik. | -2362.136 |
| RMSE | 0.95 |
| (1) | |
|---|---|
| (Intercept) | 2.399 (0.159) *** |
| poly(Treatment, 2)1 | 42.939 (1.023) *** |
| poly(Treatment, 2)2 | 16.364 (1.024) *** |
| Female | 0.111 (0.045) * |
| Age | 0.001 (0.001) |
| Educ | 0.014 (0.025) |
| Income | -0.003 (0.004) |
| Urban | 0.006 (0.024) |
| Duty | -0.104 (0.021) *** |
| Interest | -0.034 (0.035) |
| Independent | -0.021 (0.045) |
| Voted | -0.015 (0.065) |
| Num.Obs. | 1761 |
| R2 | 0.544 |
| R2 Adj. | 0.541 |
| AIC | 4629.5 |
| BIC | 4700.6 |
| Log.Lik. | -2301.736 |
| RMSE | 0.89 |
| (1) | |
|---|---|
| (Intercept) | 2.396 (0.159) *** |
| poly(Treatment, 2)1 | 41.346 (1.439) *** |
| poly(Treatment, 2)2 | 17.152 (1.441) *** |
| Female | 0.112 (0.045) * |
| Age | 0.001 (0.001) |
| Educ | 0.014 (0.025) |
| Income | -0.003 (0.004) |
| Urban | 0.007 (0.024) |
| Duty | -0.104 (0.021) *** |
| Interest | -0.032 (0.035) |
| Independent | -0.022 (0.045) |
| Voted | -0.018 (0.065) |
| poly(Treatment, 2)1 × Female | 3.217 (2.049) |
| poly(Treatment, 2)2 × Female | -1.580 (2.052) |
| Num.Obs. | 1761 |
| R2 | 0.545 |
| R2 Adj. | 0.541 |
| AIC | 4630.4 |
| BIC | 4712.5 |
| Log.Lik. | -2300.204 |
| RMSE | 0.89 |
| (1) | |
|---|---|
| (Intercept) | 2.416 (0.158) *** |
| poly(Treatment, 2)1 | 31.986 (3.388) *** |
| poly(Treatment, 2)2 | 6.091 (3.351) + |
| Age | 0.001 (0.001) |
| Female | 0.110 (0.045) * |
| Educ | 0.014 (0.024) |
| Income | -0.003 (0.004) |
| Urban | 0.006 (0.024) |
| Duty | -0.107 (0.020) *** |
| Interest | -0.035 (0.035) |
| Independent | -0.022 (0.045) |
| Voted | -0.024 (0.065) |
| poly(Treatment, 2)1 × Age | 0.216 (0.063) *** |
| poly(Treatment, 2)2 × Age | 0.204 (0.063) ** |
| Num.Obs. | 1761 |
| R2 | 0.550 |
| R2 Adj. | 0.546 |
| AIC | 4611.3 |
| BIC | 4693.5 |
| Log.Lik. | -2290.673 |
| RMSE | 0.89 |
| (1) | |
|---|---|
| (Intercept) | 2.401 (0.159) *** |
| poly(Treatment, 2)1 | 42.410 (3.685) *** |
| poly(Treatment, 2)2 | 19.000 (3.745) *** |
| Educ | 0.014 (0.025) |
| Female | 0.110 (0.045) * |
| Age | 0.001 (0.001) |
| Income | -0.003 (0.004) |
| Urban | 0.006 (0.024) |
| Duty | -0.104 (0.021) *** |
| Interest | -0.035 (0.035) |
| Independent | -0.021 (0.045) |
| Voted | -0.014 (0.065) |
| poly(Treatment, 2)1 × Educ | 0.159 (1.069) |
| poly(Treatment, 2)2 × Educ | -0.785 (1.073) |
| Num.Obs. | 1761 |
| R2 | 0.544 |
| R2 Adj. | 0.541 |
| AIC | 4632.9 |
| BIC | 4715.0 |
| Log.Lik. | -2301.453 |
| RMSE | 0.89 |
| (1) | |
|---|---|
| (Intercept) | 2.399 (0.159) *** |
| poly(Treatment, 2)1 | 43.191 (1.615) *** |
| poly(Treatment, 2)2 | 17.810 (1.615) *** |
| Income | -0.003 (0.004) |
| Female | 0.112 (0.045) * |
| Age | 0.001 (0.001) |
| Educ | 0.015 (0.025) |
| Urban | 0.006 (0.024) |
| Duty | -0.104 (0.021) *** |
| Interest | -0.034 (0.035) |
| Independent | -0.022 (0.045) |
| Voted | -0.012 (0.065) |
| poly(Treatment, 2)1 × Income | -0.034 (0.193) |
| poly(Treatment, 2)2 × Income | -0.222 (0.193) |
| Num.Obs. | 1761 |
| R2 | 0.544 |
| R2 Adj. | 0.541 |
| AIC | 4632.1 |
| BIC | 4714.2 |
| Log.Lik. | -2301.037 |
| RMSE | 0.89 |
| (1) | |
|---|---|
| (Intercept) | 2.398 (0.159) *** |
| poly(Treatment, 2)1 | 38.079 (3.507) *** |
| poly(Treatment, 2)2 | 14.729 (3.467) *** |
| Urban | 0.007 (0.024) |
| Female | 0.112 (0.045) * |
| Age | 0.001 (0.001) |
| Educ | 0.014 (0.025) |
| Income | -0.003 (0.004) |
| Duty | -0.104 (0.021) *** |
| Interest | -0.035 (0.035) |
| Independent | -0.023 (0.045) |
| Voted | -0.015 (0.065) |
| poly(Treatment, 2)1 × Urban | 1.622 (1.122) |
| poly(Treatment, 2)2 × Urban | 0.539 (1.114) |
| Num.Obs. | 1761 |
| R2 | 0.545 |
| R2 Adj. | 0.541 |
| AIC | 4631.1 |
| BIC | 4713.3 |
| Log.Lik. | -2300.573 |
| RMSE | 0.89 |
| (1) | |
|---|---|
| (Intercept) | 2.402 (0.159) *** |
| poly(Treatment, 2)1 | 45.485 (3.337) *** |
| poly(Treatment, 2)2 | 12.301 (3.313) *** |
| Duty | -0.104 (0.021) *** |
| Female | 0.112 (0.045) * |
| Age | 0.001 (0.001) |
| Educ | 0.014 (0.025) |
| Income | -0.003 (0.004) |
| Urban | 0.006 (0.024) |
| Interest | -0.033 (0.035) |
| Independent | -0.022 (0.045) |
| Voted | -0.018 (0.065) |
| poly(Treatment, 2)1 × Duty | -0.672 (0.830) |
| poly(Treatment, 2)2 × Duty | 1.070 (0.827) |
| Num.Obs. | 1761 |
| R2 | 0.545 |
| R2 Adj. | 0.541 |
| AIC | 4631.3 |
| BIC | 4713.4 |
| Log.Lik. | -2300.626 |
| RMSE | 0.89 |
| (1) | |
|---|---|
| (Intercept) | 2.405 (0.159) *** |
| poly(Treatment, 2)1 | 44.114 (4.195) *** |
| poly(Treatment, 2)2 | 6.940 (4.335) |
| Interest | -0.031 (0.035) |
| Female | 0.110 (0.045) * |
| Age | 0.001 (0.001) |
| Educ | 0.015 (0.025) |
| Income | -0.003 (0.004) |
| Urban | 0.005 (0.024) |
| Duty | -0.104 (0.021) *** |
| Independent | -0.018 (0.045) |
| Voted | -0.021 (0.065) |
| poly(Treatment, 2)1 × Interest | -0.391 (1.448) |
| poly(Treatment, 2)2 × Interest | 3.331 (1.490) * |
| Num.Obs. | 1761 |
| R2 | 0.545 |
| R2 Adj. | 0.542 |
| AIC | 4628.4 |
| BIC | 4710.5 |
| Log.Lik. | -2299.194 |
| RMSE | 0.89 |
| (1) | |
|---|---|
| (Intercept) | 2.396 (0.159) *** |
| poly(Treatment, 2)1 | 41.109 (1.334) *** |
| poly(Treatment, 2)2 | 16.945 (1.326) *** |
| Independent | -0.020 (0.045) |
| Female | 0.109 (0.045) * |
| Age | 0.001 (0.001) |
| Educ | 0.015 (0.025) |
| Income | -0.003 (0.004) |
| Urban | 0.005 (0.024) |
| Duty | -0.104 (0.021) *** |
| Interest | -0.035 (0.035) |
| Voted | -0.012 (0.065) |
| poly(Treatment, 2)1 × Independent | 4.424 (2.077) * |
| poly(Treatment, 2)2 × Independent | -1.396 (2.085) |
| Num.Obs. | 1761 |
| R2 | 0.545 |
| R2 Adj. | 0.542 |
| AIC | 4628.5 |
| BIC | 4710.6 |
| Log.Lik. | -2299.230 |
| RMSE | 0.89 |
| (1) | |
|---|---|
| (Intercept) | 2.418 (0.159) *** |
| poly(Treatment, 2)1 | 45.016 (2.351) *** |
| poly(Treatment, 2)2 | 10.539 (2.486) *** |
| Voted | -0.024 (0.065) |
| Female | 0.110 (0.045) * |
| Age | 0.001 (0.001) |
| Educ | 0.014 (0.025) |
| Income | -0.003 (0.004) |
| Urban | 0.006 (0.024) |
| Duty | -0.105 (0.021) *** |
| Interest | -0.034 (0.035) |
| Independent | -0.021 (0.045) |
| poly(Treatment, 2)1 × Voted | -2.530 (2.615) |
| poly(Treatment, 2)2 × Voted | 7.003 (2.729) * |
| Num.Obs. | 1761 |
| R2 | 0.546 |
| R2 Adj. | 0.543 |
| AIC | 4626.0 |
| BIC | 4708.1 |
| Log.Lik. | -2297.996 |
| RMSE | 0.89 |
投票率40%が有権者における心理的下限?
Call:
rdd::RDestimate(formula = Q16.1 ~ Treatment, data = df, cutpoint = 40)
Type:
sharp
Estimates:
Bandwidth Observations Estimate Std. Error z value Pr(>|z|)
LATE 3.192 265 0.4530 0.12171 3.722 0.0001977
Half-BW 1.596 118 0.3500 0.12496 2.801 0.0050972
Double-BW 6.384 487 0.3235 0.09812 3.297 0.0009785
LATE ***
Half-BW **
Double-BW ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
F-statistics:
F Num. DoF Denom. DoF p
LATE 3.815 3 261 0.02115
Half-BW 2.536 2 115 0.16720
Double-BW 4.325 3 483 0.01010
cpop analysis with n = 61 and penalty (beta) = 8.221748
1 changepoint detected at x =
50
fitted values :
x0 y0 x1 y1 gradient intercept RSS
1 20 1.113460 50 1.424349 0.01036297 0.9062005 0.4664509
2 50 1.424349 80 4.110136 0.08952625 -3.0519633 0.6733183
overall RSS = 1.139769
cost = 85.89115
Call:
rdd::RDestimate(formula = Q16.1 ~ Treatment, data = df, cutpoint = 50)
Type:
sharp
Estimates:
Bandwidth Observations Estimate Std. Error z value Pr(>|z|)
LATE 3.36 234 -0.3896 0.3493 -1.115 0.2647
Half-BW 1.68 82 -0.3333 0.2348 -1.420 0.1556
Double-BW 6.72 459 -0.2948 0.2000 -1.474 0.1404
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
F-statistics:
F Num. DoF Denom. DoF p
LATE 2.118 3 230 0.19747
Half-BW 1.359 2 79 0.52593
Double-BW 4.270 3 455 0.01093